← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 65% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Numancia win | 12% | 8.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 22' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Numancia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pedro Orfila · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 551.00 | 734.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.63 |
| elo | 1516.91 | 1456.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.70 | -14.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| league points | 62.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.19 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 27.03 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |