← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, May 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 239.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| corners for avg (last 5) |
| 4.80 |
| 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.28 |
| elo | 1460.55 | 1518.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.41 | 3.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| league points | 48.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |