← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.36 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Samu Sáiz · Huesca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Aguilera · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 543.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| corners against avg (last 5) |
| 4.60 |
| 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 4.14 |
| elo | 1510.02 | 1458.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.04 | -13.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| league points | 59.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 26.67 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |