← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Numancia win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 30' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 33' | ⚽ | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Borja · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | Dani Nieto · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 73.00 | 712.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.63 |
| elo | 1453.32 | 1481.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.45 | 16.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.86 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |