← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Valladolid win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Valladolid |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cristian Espinoza · Valladolid |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nano · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joan Jordán · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 67.00 | 310.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.49 |
| elo | 1432.97 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 1452.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.93 | -3.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.79 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.52 |
| league points | 42.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.92 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |