← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Levante UD win | 13% | 7.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 94.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.81 |
| elo | 1513.59 | 1614.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.46 | -14.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 46.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| league points | 44.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.42 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |