← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Valdes Aller, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Lugo win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Carlos Hernández · Girona |
| 3' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 18' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Samuele Longo · Girona |
| 59' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Rubén Alcaraz · Girona |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fran Sandaza · Girona |
| 63' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Girona |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Girona |
| 89' | 🟥 | Pedro Alcala · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Joselu · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 1229.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.15 |
| elo | 1464.07 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1542.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.77 | -41.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.77 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.40 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |