← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Numancia win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 60' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luciano Balbi · Valladolid |
| 76' | ⚽ | José Manuel Arnáiz · Valladolid |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 302.00 | 698.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.04 |
| elo | 1454.80 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 1430.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.59 | 9.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| league points | 49.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |