← Segunda División 2016 · Fri, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Almeria win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Armando Lozano · Elche CF |
| 27' | ⚽ | Borja · Almeria |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ximo Navarro · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Róber · Elche CF |
| 53' | ⚽ | Pelayo · Elche CF |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ximo Navarro · Almeria |
| 73' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Elche CF |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fran Vélez · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liberto Beltrán · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dominique Malonga · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 667.00 | 58.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.58 |
| elo | 1421.90 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 1421.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.65 | 24.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |