← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Oviedo win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 7' | ⚽ | Toché · Oviedo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 41' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 60' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Toché · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Manu · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 289.00 | 319.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.47 |
| elo | 1467.66 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1504.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.71 | 2.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 45.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.58 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |