← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Medie Jimenez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Numancia win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 41' | ⚽ | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Edu Albacar · Elche CF |
| 70' | 🟨 | Aitor Fernández · Numancia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Borja Valle · Elche CF |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Eneko Capilla · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edu Albacar · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Edu Albacar · Elche CF |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Unai Medina · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 654.00 | 684.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.28 |
| elo | 1448.87 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 1409.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.37 | -10.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 42.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |