← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Zaragoza win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Edu Bedia · Zaragoza |
| 7' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 16' | ⚽ | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
| 30' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Edu Bedia · Zaragoza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 70' | 🟥 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Borja · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 39.00 | 190.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1422.78 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 1429.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.32 | 17.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.08 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.35 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.22 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |