← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Tenerife win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 66.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.75 |
| elo | 1505.72 | 1541.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.60 | 2.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| league points | 37.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.59 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.63 | 28.22 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |