← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 16' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cadiz |
| 20' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟥 | Aridane Hernández · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 372.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.17 |
| elo | 1541.40 | 1459.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.00 | -5.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| league points | 54.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.41 |
| skill v1 | -1.98 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 26.05 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |