← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Valladolid win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · Valladolid |
| 32' | 🟨 | André Leão · Valladolid |
| 42' | ⚽ | Manuel Lanzarote · Zaragoza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Manuel Lanzarote · Zaragoza |
| 82' | 🟨 | Leandro Cabrera · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Luciano Balbi · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rafa · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 183.00 | 275.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.33 |
| elo | 1430.46 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 1455.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.45 | -30.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 8.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |