← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 19% | 5.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1200.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadi Montilivi |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.42 |
| elo | 1617.00 | 1483.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.55 | -0.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 62.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.33 | 28.78 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |