← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Mar 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Zaragoza win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andres Tunez · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 634.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.59 |
| elo | 1486.59 | 1435.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.07 | -30.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 29.31 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |