← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Antonio Amaya · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 54' | 🟨 | Julio Alvarez · Numancia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Álex Moreno · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 663.00 | 52.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.20 |
| elo | 1420.53 | 1429.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.64 | -10.37 |
| eye test v1 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| -0.72 |
| -0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.63 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |