← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Numancia win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alejandro Alfaro · Cordoba |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luso · Cordoba |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Julio Alvarez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jose Manuel Casado · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 137.00 | 656.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.32 |
| elo | 1419.01 | 1463.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.09 | -43.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| league points | 33.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |