← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Oviedo win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Toché · Oviedo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Eneko Capilla · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 649.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.20 |
| elo | 1464.39 | 1477.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.33 | 47.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| league points | 36.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 29.19 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |