← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
| 19' | 🟨 | Angeliño · Mallorca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 87' | ⚽ | Dejan Lekic · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 435.00 | 253.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.20 |
| elo | 1417.61 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| 1461.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.57 | -18.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 6.17 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |