← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Numancia win | 24% | 3.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Ángel Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marcelo Silva · Zaragoza |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marcelo Silva · Zaragoza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 155.00 | 643.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.18 |
| elo | 1412.39 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 1435.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.47 | 0.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.33 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | -2.01 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |