← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Almeria win | 21% | 4.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 51' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Fran Vélez · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Isidoro · Almeria |
| 64' | ⚽ | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ximo Navarro · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nano · Almeria |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 4.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.39 |
| elo | 1476.01 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1386.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.01 | -2.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 37.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.93 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |