← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Valladolid win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 77' | 🟨 | Raúl de Tomás · Valladolid |
| 81' | ⚽ | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 89' | 🟨 | Javi Moyano · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Villar · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 460.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 1.84 |
| elo | 1487.46 | 1511.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.20 | 14.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | -1.95 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 25.55 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |