← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Reus win | 17% | 5.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 31.00 | 1007.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.80 |
| elo | 1477.12 | 1491.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.30 | -10.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| league points | 29.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.93 | 28.01 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |