← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Lugo win | 17% | 5.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 18' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Valladolid |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Damia Sabater · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 240.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.64 |
| elo | 1514.27 | 1461.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |