← Segunda División 2016 · Fri, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Elche CF win | 23% | 4.23 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Borja Valle · Elche CF |
| 26' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andres Tunez · Elche CF |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Yelko Pino · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 231.00 | 597.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.92 |
| elo | 1473.82 | 1464.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.02 | -6.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.19 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |