← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 20' | 🟨 | Raul Baena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Emmanuel Culio · Mallorca |
| 47' | ⚽ | Álex Moreno · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 49' | 🟨 | Dorado · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 57' | 🟨 | Antonio Amaya · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fran Beltrán · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 408.00 | 11.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.51 |
| elo |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| 1428.58 |
| 1449.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.21 | -3.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| league points | 25.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.33 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.17 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |