← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Reus win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Jairo Morilla · Numancia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jesus Olmo · Reus |
| 52' | 🟨 | Srđan Babić · Reus |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alexander Albistegi · Reus |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 622.00 | 987.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.20 |
| elo | 1462.40 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 1479.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.66 | -8.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.00 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.57 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |