← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Xabier Irureta · Zaragoza |
| 59' | ⚽ | Cani · Zaragoza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Fran Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fede Vico · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 120.00 | 212.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.25 |
| elo | 1417.86 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 1480.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.36 | -7.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |