← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 24% | 3.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 211.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 2.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.97 |
| elo | 1496.18 | 1511.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.14 | -24.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 34.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.27 | 30.18 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |