← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Elche CF win | 16% | 5.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Diego Aguirre · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 38' | ⚽ | Guillermo · Elche CF |
| 51' | 🟨 | Razvan Rat · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 60' | 🟨 | Miku Fedor · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Miku Fedor · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 74' | 🟨 | Edu Albacar · Elche CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Miku Fedor · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 84' | 🟥 | Miku Fedor · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 89' | 🟨 | Raul Baena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Pelegrin · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 81.00 | 570.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.90 |
| elo |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 1451.11 |
| 1457.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.09 | -17.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 24.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |