← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Jan 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cadiz win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Róber · Elche CF |
| 14' | ⚽ | Pelayo · Elche CF |
| 24' | 🟨 | Róber · Elche CF |
| 24' | 🟥 | Róber · Elche CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cadiz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 67' | 🟨 | Rafidine Abdullah · Cadiz |
| 72' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Cadiz |
| 82' | ⚽ | Daniel Güiza · Cadiz |
| 87' | ⚽ | — · Elche CF |
| 89' | ⚽ | Daniel Güiza · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 557.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 0.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1481.66 | 1527.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.33 | 45.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| league points | 26.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 23.00 | 20.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.65 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |