← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jan 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Roger Martí · Levante UD |
| 88' | 🟨 | José Campaña · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Verza · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Ciutat de València |
| 0.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.74 |
| elo | 1581.23 | 1473.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.50 | -2.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.55 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |