← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Medie Jimenez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Mallorca win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Mallorca |
| 16' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 19' | ⚽ | Juan Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 21' | 🟨 | Lago Júnior · Mallorca |
| 40' | 🟨 | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jesus Cabrero · Mallorca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Brandon · Mallorca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Brandon · Mallorca |
| 45' | 🟥 | Brandon · Mallorca |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dejan Lekic · Mallorca |
| 79' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Culio · Mallorca |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pol Roige · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 566.00 | 352.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.22 |
| elo | 1406.32 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 1429.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.74 | -25.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |