← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Numancia win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 15' | ⚽ | Iñigo Pérez · Numancia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 65' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 559.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.05 |
| elo | 1461.89 | 1469.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.49 | 8.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.60 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |