← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Almeria win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ximo Navarro · Almeria |
| 62' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 551.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 4.20 |
| 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.21 |
| elo | 1461.28 | 1459.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.25 | 7.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 45.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |