← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Tenerife win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 7' | 🟨 | Manu · Lugo |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Suso · Tenerife |
| 12' | 🟨 | Alfonso Pedraza · Lugo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 30' | 🟨 | Vitolo · Tenerife |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
| 67' | ⚽ | Suso · Tenerife |
| 71' | 🟨 | Iñaki Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 78' | ⚽ | Aaron Ñiguez · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 148.00 | 391.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.46 |
| elo | 1467.46 | 1461.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.66 | 11.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.40 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |