← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Nov 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Lugo win | 19% | 5.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Borja García · Girona |
| 7' | ⚽ | Carlos Hernández · Lugo |
| 35' | ⚽ | Borja García · Girona |
| 42' | 🟨 | Samuele Longo · Girona |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Yelko Pino · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Borja García · Girona |
| 81' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rubén Alcaraz · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1067.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadi Montilivi |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| elo | 1579.32 | 1475.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.66 | -18.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 68.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |