← Segunda División 2016 · Fri, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Valdes Aller, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Elche CF win | 23% | 4.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Ximo Navarro · Elche CF |
| 26' | 🟨 | Armando Lozano · Elche CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Antonio Puertas · Almeria |
| 58' | ⚽ | Quique · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Álex Fernández · Elche CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Liberto Beltrán · Elche CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Guillermo · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nino · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 109.00 | 506.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.62 |
| elo | 1448.28 | 1479.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.73 | -15.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.30 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |