← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Nov 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Zé Castro · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 67' | 🟨 | Quini · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bruno Zuculini · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 87' | 🟥 | Ignasi Miquel · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 135.00 | 12.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.72 |
| elo |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1501.46 |
| 1457.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.54 | -27.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |