← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Numancia win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Suso · Tenerife |
| 49' | 🟨 | Suso · Tenerife |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luis Valcarce · Numancia |
| 63' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Aaron Ñiguez · Tenerife |
| 81' | 🟨 | Haythem Jouini · Tenerife |
| 83' | 🟨 | Haythem Jouini · Tenerife |
| 83' | 🟥 | Haythem Jouini · Tenerife |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raul Camara · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 377.00 | 530.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.88 |
| elo | 1453.94 | 1459.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.09 | -34.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.55 |
| state index | -0.15 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |