← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Hector Verdes · Oviedo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 61' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 88' | ⚽ | Hector Verdes · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 158.00 | 128.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.41 |
| elo | 1522.77 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| 1499.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.85 | -26.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 65.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.66 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |