← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Elche CF win | 23% | 4.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 10' | 🟨 | Pablo Hervias · Elche CF |
| 11' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Javier Matilla · Elche CF |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pedro · Elche CF |
| 47' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 56' | ⚽ | José Ángel · Elche CF |
| 58' | 🟨 | José Ángel · Elche CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nino · Elche CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Numancia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 524.00 | 494.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.83 |
| elo | 1461.30 | 1464.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.32 | -13.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |