← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 363.00 | 150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.70 |
| elo | 1437.21 | 1561.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.28 | -3.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |