← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Oct 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Zaragoza win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Álvaro Ratón · Zaragoza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Juan Villar · Valladolid |
| 75' | 🟥 | Jorge Casado · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cani · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 114.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.93 |
| elo | 1459.88 | 1473.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.65 | -51.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.09 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |