← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Valdes Aller, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reus win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Lugo win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mayor · Reus |
| 26' | ⚽ | Fran Carbia · Reus |
| 55' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Reus |
| 90' | 🟨 | Édgar Badía · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 874.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.60 |
| elo | 1528.42 | 1483.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.01 | 9.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 69.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |