← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Oct 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Numancia win | 19% | 5.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 137.00 | 503.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| elo | 1555.99 | 1494.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.43 | 8.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.78 | 64.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 31.42 | 28.59 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |