← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Getafe CF win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Mehdi Lacen · Getafe CF |
| 84' | ⚽ | Stefan Šćepović · Getafe CF |
| 87' | 🟨 | Manu · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Damián Suárez · Getafe CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Getafe CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 106.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.22 |
| elo | 1494.49 | 1506.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.36 | -7.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.22 | 50.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.67 | 3.89 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 28.23 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |