← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Oct 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Lugo win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 18' | ⚽ | Alfonso Pedraza · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Maikel Mesa · Mirandes |
| 77' | ⚽ | Iker Guarrotxena · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| elo | 1470.17 | 1493.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.76 | 46.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.75 | 68.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.11 |
| skill v1 | -1.53 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.63 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.99 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |